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Energy BrainBlog

Blog by Energy Brainpool GmbH & Co. KG

Author: Carlos Perez-Linkenheil (page 1 of 2)

World Energy Outlook 2020: New commodity scenarios influence power prices in the long term

© IEA

In the second part of the World Energy Outlook 2020 blog series, we provide a detailed overview of the significantly adjusted development expectations for the global oil, gas and coal markets. For this, we use our fundamental model Power2Sim. The model allows us to quantitatively estimate the long-term effects on European power prices until 2040 as well as the sales revenues of renewable energies.


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Coronavirus pandemic and the energy market: a quantitative assessment of medium-term developments

In the second part of this blog series, we elaborate on the links between the coronavirus pandemic and energy markets. Specifically, we examine the possible medium-term consequences for the front years 2021 to 2025 on Europe’s electricity markets due to the coronavirus and the turbulences on the oil market. We conducted the analysis using the fundamental model Power2Sim. 


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Update December 2019 – EU Energy Outlook 2050

With the current “EU Energy Outlook 2050”, Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe. The European energy system will change dramatically in the coming decades. What do current developments in the EU mean for electricity prices, revenue potential and risks for photovoltaics and wind?


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Germany: Trends PV-PPAS – Looking for the “Fair Value”

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After photovoltaic (PV) PPAs have already established themselves in Southern Europe in recent years, the ball is rolling in Germany as well. While current market conditions indicate that PV PPAs will play an increasingly important role in the course of the energy transition, the question of “fair value” – the price that is fair to all sides – is increasingly being asked. It quickly becomes clear that consistent, long term electricity market scenarios are indispensable when assessing key performance indicators.


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EU Energy Outlook 2050 – how will Europe evolve over the next 30 years?

With the current “EU Energy Outlook 2050” Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe. Climate change and aging power plants are forcing the European Union and many countries to change their energy policies. In addition, there are market changes. What do these developments mean for electricity prices, revenue potential and risks for photovoltaics and wind?


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EU Energy Outlook 2050 – How will Europe evolve over the next 30 years?

Figure 1: Installed generation capacities in EU 28 (incl. NO and CH) by energy carrier; Source: Energy Brainpool,
© Energy Brainpool

With its current “EU Energy Outlook 2050”, Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe. The European energy system will change dramatically in the coming decades. Climate change and aging power plants are forcing the European Union and other countries to change their energy policies. What do these developments mean for electricity prices and revenue potential for photovoltaics and wind?


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Update: Trends in electricity price development – EU Energy Outlook 2050

Installed generation capacities in EU-28 (plus NO and CH) by energy sources; Source: Energy Brainpool,
© Energy Brainpool

Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe with its “EU Energy Outlook 2050”. The European energy system will change dramatically in the upcoming decades. Climate change and an aging powerhouse are forcing the European Union and other countries to readjust their energy policies. What do these developments mean for electricity prices and revenue potential for photovoltaics and wind?


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Potential future loss of renewable energy plants through the six hour rule

Figure 1 Annual lost revenues (market value and market premium) for wind and solar plants in percent of total annual revenues
© Energy Brainpool

If the electricity prices on the spot market are negative for at least six consecutive hours, the payment of remuneration for renewable energies will cease. This matter of fact is determined by §51 of the EEG 2017. Nevertheless already this year in the period of the 28th to the 29th of October, 21 consecutive hours with negative prices have been recorded. As a result the future assures that renewable energy systems will be denied by compensation payments. Energy Brainpool has published a white paper which examines this risk over the period 2016-2036.


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