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Energy BrainBlog

Blog by Energy Brainpool GmbH & Co. KG

Energy markets between climate protection and price rally: reviewing 2021

Energy Brainpool
© Energy Brainpool

Anyone who thought the energy year 2021 would be rather quiet after the turbulent Corona year 2020 was proven wrong by September 2021 at the latest. While climate protection was the main topic in the first half of the year, the second half brought record prices in almost all markets.


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Energy market review November 2021

Energy Brainpool
© Energy Brainpool

While the coalition agreement of the new German government sets the course for the German climate policy, the UN climate conference agreed on global measures for climate protection. The expected operation of Nord Stream 2 is paused indefinitely as the Federal Network Agency has halted the certification process. The CO2 price is at an all-time high and there is also a new record on the spot market.


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Energy market review October 2021

Energy Brainpool
© Energy Brainpool

In October 2021, new record prices on energy markets are prevailing. The EU Commission launches a toolbox as short-term response to high energy and commodity prices. Another consequence of the price rally: A switch took place from natural gas to oil and oil products in the energy sector. Besides that, there will be a reduction of the EEG levy for 2022.


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A new dawn in the energy sector? What the new German coalition is planning

Figure 2: Energy industry emissions in 2030 according to different scenarios in million tons of CO2; RE: Renewable Energy

High prices on the energy markets have been the hot topic in recent weeks. However, the long-term development of the German energy industry will be shaped much more by the coalition negotiations currently taking place between the Social Democrats (SPD), the Greens and the Liberals (FDP). In this article, we present the initial results and potential points of conflict of the energy and climate policy agenda of the future German government.


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Record prices on the electricity market: RE market values now hedged on the futures market?

Market values of renewable energies compared to the EEG tender results 2018 to 2020 (Source: Energy Brainpool, 2021)

In the wake of historically high electricity prices, conventional marketing strategies for electricity from renewable energies (RE) are at stake. Until now, RE direct marketing has been equivalent to selling at spot markets, a standard that has hardly been questioned. Why should a power plant operator expose himself to the futures market risk when the EEG subsidy secures the market value on the spot market? Combined with upcoming contract adjustments in connection with Redispatch 2.0, some direct marketers are now offering guaranteed market values for the future and hedging them on the forward market. With fundamental scenario swarm analysis, you are able to indicate under what circumstances this is a good idea.


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Update: EU Energy Outlook 2050 – How will Europe evolve over the next 30 years?*

Installed generation capacities in EU-27 plus NO, CH and UK by energy carrier (source: Energy Brainpool, 2021; EU Reference Scenario, 2016; entso-e, 2021)
© Energy Brainpool

With the current “EU Energy Outlook 2050” Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe. The European energy system will change dramatically in the coming decades. Climate change and ageing power plants are forcing the European Union and several countries to change their energy policies. In addition, there are significant market changes: rising CO2 certificate prices lead to higher profitability of renewable energies, keyword: Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs). What do these developments indicate for power prices, revenue potential, and risks for photovoltaics and wind?


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Price rally across the energy markets

Level of German gas storage facilities at the beginning of the month 2016 - 2021 in TWh (source: Energy Brainpool)

Energy crunch in Europe? Energy prices have been breaking one record after another for several weeks. Where does the extreme rise in electricity, coal and gas prices come from? Is the price rally a short-term outlier or a sign of higher energy prices also in the future? In this article, we explain main global and regional causes of the current price developments on the energy markets.


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Energy market review September 2021

© Energy Brainpool

The offshore wind auction clears subsidy free. The new federal government will set the course for climate policy in Germany. Preparations for the start of national emissions trading are in full swing. New record prices for gas & co. have been set on the short-term and futures markets.


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