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Energy BrainBlog

Blog by Energy Brainpool GmbH & Co. KG

Category: Analysis (page 1 of 9)

A new dawn in the energy sector? What the new German coalition is planning

Figure 2: Energy industry emissions in 2030 according to different scenarios in million tons of CO2; RE: Renewable Energy

High prices on the energy markets have been the hot topic in recent weeks. However, the long-term development of the German energy industry will be shaped much more by the coalition negotiations currently taking place between the Social Democrats (SPD), the Greens and the Liberals (FDP). In this article, we present the initial results and potential points of conflict of the energy and climate policy agenda of the future German government.


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Record prices on the electricity market: RE market values now hedged on the futures market?

Market values of renewable energies compared to the EEG tender results 2018 to 2020 (Source: Energy Brainpool, 2021)

In the wake of historically high electricity prices, conventional marketing strategies for electricity from renewable energies (RE) are at stake. Until now, RE direct marketing has been equivalent to selling at spot markets, a standard that has hardly been questioned. Why should a power plant operator expose himself to the futures market risk when the EEG subsidy secures the market value on the spot market? Combined with upcoming contract adjustments in connection with Redispatch 2.0, some direct marketers are now offering guaranteed market values for the future and hedging them on the forward market. With fundamental scenario swarm analysis, you are able to indicate under what circumstances this is a good idea.


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Update: EU Energy Outlook 2050 – How will Europe evolve over the next 30 years?*

Installed generation capacities in EU-27 plus NO, CH and UK by energy carrier (source: Energy Brainpool, 2021; EU Reference Scenario, 2016; entso-e, 2021)
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With the current “EU Energy Outlook 2050” Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe. The European energy system will change dramatically in the coming decades. Climate change and ageing power plants are forcing the European Union and several countries to change their energy policies. In addition, there are significant market changes: rising CO2 certificate prices lead to higher profitability of renewable energies, keyword: Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs). What do these developments indicate for power prices, revenue potential, and risks for photovoltaics and wind?


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Global climate targets only achievable through negative emissions?

Emission reductions alone are not enough to achieve ambitious climate goals. Therefore, negative emissions and carbon removal are increasingly being discussed as possible additional climate protection measures. In this guest article, Simon Göß from cr.hub explains what is behind the terms negative emissions and carbon removal. After analysing five global scenarios in relation to negative emissions, Simon Göß explains the implications for policy and highlights some private sector initiatives.


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Fit for 55: The EU’s new climate targets and the EU ETS, part II

© Sven Petersen / Fotolia

The European Green Deal presented by the European Commission on 11 December 2019 sets the goal of making Europe the first climate-neutral continent by 2050. The EU has once again taken the lead among major greenhouse gas emitters with the announcement of tightening climate targets and measures on 14 July 2021. The ambitious programme aims to reduce emissions by 2030 drastically.


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EU Energy Outlook 2050 – How will Europe evolve over the next 30 years?

© Energy Brainpool

With the current “EU Energy Outlook 2050” Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe. The European energy system will change dramatically in the coming decades. Climate change and aging power plants are forcing the European Union and many countries to change their energy policies. In addition, there are market changes: rising CO2 certificate prices lead to higher profitability of renewable energies, Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) are the key word here. What do these developments mean for power prices, revenue potential and risks for photovoltaics and wind?


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China’s energy system in 2020: record expansion of renewables despite Corona pandemic

Although the economy suffered a slump in the first few months of last year, electricity consumption rose by almost 300 TWh over the year 2020 as a whole. The shares of renewable energies in electricity generation increased. Especially in the last quarter of 2020, more PV and wind capacity was added than is installed in Germany up to now.


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What is next for the European emissions trading system (EU ETS)? Part I

© Sven Petersen / Fotolia

The CO2 price is becoming increasingly important for the electricity market. Therefore, we take a closer look at the CO2 market and the discussed changes in the European Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS). In this first article, we look at the current developments and the envisaged changes in the course of the new EU climate protection package “Fit for 55”.


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