In the second part of this blog series, we elaborate on the links between the coronavirus pandemic and energy markets. Specifically, we examine the possible medium-term consequences for the front years 2021 to 2025 on Europe’s electricity markets due to the coronavirus and the turbulences on the oil market. We conducted the analysis using the fundamental model Power2Sim.
The global spread of the Sars-CoV-2 pathogen has an impact on all global energy markets. With lower demand for energy due to social and economic constraints, commodity prices on the markets have collapsed dramatically.
As the transformation of the energy system to renewable energies, increased sector coupling and electrification progresses, grid infrastructures are also subject to change. The operators of electricity and gas networks must prepare themselves for this.
The coal phase-out has finally been stipulated in a law, even if less ambitious than the coal commission had proposed. The results of the last solar auction in December 2019 have been published and German emissions fell by about 50 million tonnes of CO2 last year. In the first month of 2020, prices at the long end continued to fall.
With the current “EU Energy Outlook 2050”, Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe. The European energy system will change dramatically in the coming decades. What do current developments in the EU mean for electricity prices, revenue potential and risks for photovoltaics and wind?
The futures market price for electricity is the current average estimate by traders of the electricity prices of the future. Many factors, which are difficult to estimate in advance, have to be considered by traders: How is the supply of electricity, i.e. the available feed-in capacity of European power plants and their costs such as gas, coal and CO2 prices, developing? How is demand developing in terms of both its level and its structure? Another factor is also becoming increasingly important: the weather.
With this article we continue the series of analysis on sales revenues of wind and PV power generation. On a quarterly basis, we take a look at the theoretically achievable sales revenues of onshore and offshore wind turbines as well as photovoltaic systems and analyse the background. This time, we look at quarter 3.