What course was set for the energy industry in 2019 and what will be remembered until the next decade? In 2019, the discussion was completely dominated by the climate package, the “right” CO2 price and the preparations for the coal phase-out. Another top topic from the market side: PPAs come leave their niche. For renewables positive as well as negative records have been set.
With the current “EU Energy Outlook 2050”, Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe. The European energy system will change dramatically in the coming decades. What do current developments in the EU mean for electricity prices, revenue potential and risks for photovoltaics and wind?
With the draft of the Coal Exit Law, the Federal Government has not only put the tender procedure for the shutdown of coal capacities on paper. At the same time, changes were announced for renewable energies. According to the International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook 2019, global CO2 emissions might rise until 2040. In terms of prices, November continues where October left off: going down.
The futures market price for electricity is the current average estimate by traders of the electricity prices of the future. Many factors, which are difficult to estimate in advance, have to be considered by traders: How is the supply of electricity, i.e. the available feed-in capacity of European power plants and their costs such as gas, coal and CO2 prices, developing? How is demand developing in terms of both its level and its structure? Another factor is also becoming increasingly important: the weather.
With this article we continue the series of analysis on sales revenues of wind and PV power generation. On a quarterly basis, we take a look at the theoretically achievable sales revenues of onshore and offshore wind turbines as well as photovoltaic systems and analyse the background. This time, we look at quarter 3.
Most of the regulations of the German Climate Package 2030 gradually went into the parliamentary implementation phase during October 2019. For 2020, the renewable energy levy will rise by about 5 percent. The Federal Network Agency announced the results of the October 2019 tenders for onshore wind and PV. Prices struggle to find a direction amidst uncertain political and economic developments.
The fact that the expansion of wind power in Germany struggles is shown by the results of the tender of August 2019. Meanwhile, e-mobility is making inroads in Germany. A law for supporting the structural change for the coal region is formulated and only needs to be passed. Besides that prices on the futures market in August 2019 were pointing downwards.
With the current “EU Energy Outlook 2050” Energy Brainpool shows long-term trends in Europe. Climate change and aging power plants are forcing the European Union and many countries to change their energy policies. In addition, there are market changes. What do these developments mean for electricity prices, revenue potential and risks for photovoltaics and wind?